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FinanceGross domestic product

U.S. economy’s first quarter was worse than feared

By
John Kell
John Kell
Contributing Writer and author of CIO Intelligence
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By
John Kell
John Kell
Contributing Writer and author of CIO Intelligence
Down Arrow Button Icon
June 25, 2014, 8:41 AM ET
A man walks past the New York Stock Exchange in New York's financial district
A man walks past the New York Stock Exchange in New York's financial district February 13, 2014. A deadly winter storm moved north along the East Coast of the United States on Thursday, bringing heavy snow, sleet and rain across the Washington, D.C., and New York areas, grounding flights and shutting government offices. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid (UNITED STATES - Tags: ENVIRONMENT BUSINESS) - RTX18S1BPhotograph by Brendan McDermid—Reuters

The U.S. Economy shrank a surprisingly sharp 2.9% in the first quarter, its worst quarterly performance since the first quarter of 2009, as the nation was battered by harsh winter weather.

Wednesday’s GDP report was the second downward revision to figures released by the Commerce Department. Initially, the government had said first-quarter GDP grew a modest 0.1%, though that figure was revised in late May to a decrease of 1%.

Another downward revision to GDP was widely anticipated by economists, which had on average anticipated real GDP to fall 1.8%, according to a poll conducted by Bloomberg. But Wednesday’s revision was far sharper than even the most bearish economists had projected, coming in at the low end of that projection anticipated 2.4% contraction.

The weak first-quarter performance has led economists and other groups, including the International Monetary Fund, to cut their 2014 growth forecasts for the United States. But many see a meaningful recovery underway since the winter weather thawed, and growth is expected to continue for the rest of the year.

Several pockets of the economy have been lauded by the Federal Reserve has performing well, including new-automobile sales, increased lending activity and generally strengthening labor conditions. Tourism is also steadily strengthening across most of the country, the Fed has said.

But other aspects of the U.S. Economy could be performing better. Some post-recession trends—including long-term unemployment and low labor force participation—continue to vex policymakers. Another recent concern is higher inflation.

The Commerce Department on Wednesday separately reported new orders for U.S. Manufactured durable goods in May decreased 1% to $238 billion, worse than the 0.4% growth projected by economists. The monthly decline ended a three-month streak of increases, the Commerce Department said. Meanwhile, inventories of manufactured durable goods rose 1% in May, while shipments increased 0.3%.

About the Author
By John KellContributing Writer and author of CIO Intelligence

John Kell is a contributing writer for Coins2Day and author of Coins2Day’s CIO Intelligence newsletter.

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