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Coins2Day Crystal Ball

Prediction: Consumers (and Rate Cuts) Will Keep China Growing in 2016

By
Scott Cendrowski
Scott Cendrowski
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By
Scott Cendrowski
Scott Cendrowski
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December 3, 2015, 10:00 AM ET
General Retail Images During The Lunar New Year Holiday
A pedestrian carries shopping bags in Hong Kong, China, on Wednesday, Jan. 25, 2012. Temperatures in Hong Kong dropped as low as 7.4 degrees Celsius (45 degrees Fahrenheit) today, the coldest reading during a Lunar New Year holiday since 1996, the Hong Kong Observatory reported. Photographer: Jerome Favre/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesPhotograph by Jerome Favre — Bloomberg via Getty Images

The staff of Coins2Day recently assembled its predictions for 2016. Here’s one of our forecasts.

China has lowered its official GDP growth target to 6.5% for 2016, and actual growth is likely to be lower than that. Expect continued cuts to interest rates and bank reserve ratio requirements, as the government scrambles to engineer a soft landing. But the surprising health of the Chinese consumer will keep forecasts of a crash from coming true. Notably, Chinese housing values will continue to rise, buoyed by falling inventories in many major cities. The rest of the world will get a chance to adjust to slower but still steady growth in China.

This article is part of the 2016 Coins2Day Crystal Ball, a package of 33 predictions about business, politics and the economy by the writers and editors of Coins2Day. To see the entire package, click here.

About the Author
By Scott Cendrowski
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