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The OpenAI outcome is pretty ideal for Microsoft

By
David Meyer
David Meyer
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By
David Meyer
David Meyer
Down Arrow Button Icon
November 22, 2023, 11:31 AM ET
Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella speaks during a keynote address announcing ChatGPT integration for Bing at Microsoft in Redmond, Washington, on February 7, 2023
Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella announces ChatGPT integration for Bing at Microsoft in Redmond, Wash., on Feb. 7, 2023.Jason Redmond/AFP—Getty Images

The OpenAI saga has come full circle. Sam Altman is back as CEO, though he now faces an internal investigation into his conduct leading up to his dismissal last Friday. The coup plotters are either out (board members Helen Toner and Tasha McCauley) or severely chastened (cofounder and now former board member Ilya Sutskever). Cofounder Greg Brockman, who was briefly hired by Microsoft alongside Altman on Sunday evening, posted a selfie with jubilant OpenAI staffers, with the message: “We are so back.” And OpenAI just launched ChatGPT’s voice feature with a joke about the whole affair.

There’s a strong temptation—certainly for us tech journalists—to emit the finest expletives over five days of intense drama being followed by the appearance of everything going back right back to where it started. But of course, that’s not quite the case.

Crucially, it seems Microsoft is going to get much more of a foothold in OpenAI’s decision-making processes. According to The Verge’s sources, the initial board—comprising sole holdover Adam D’Angelo, plus former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers and former Salesforce co-CEO Bret Taylor—will create a bigger board, on which Altman and Microsoft want seats.

“We are encouraged by the changes to the OpenAI board. We believe this is a first essential step on a path to more stable, well-informed, and effective governance,” Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella posted on X. “Sam, Greg, and I have talked and agreed they have a key role to play along with the OAI leadership team in ensuring OAI continues to thrive and build on its mission. We look forward to building on our strong partnership and delivering the value of this next generation of AI to our customers and partners.”

In some ways, Microsoft has ended up with the best of both worlds here. The inherent and growing tension between OpenAI’s nonprofit structure and the need to fund its enormous staffing and running costs is a lot closer to being resolved than it was this time last week. Looks like the money won, which means fewer surprises for Nadella, who also probably now gets less resistance to his need for speed—this episode will take OpenAI further away from its safety-first roots.

At the same time, the new-old setup gives Microsoft one less reason to worry on the regulatory front. As it has only a (barely) minority stake in OpenAI’s profit-making subsidiary, there’s nothing for antitrust regulators—who are taking a renewed interest in Microsoft these days—to see here. That situation may have changed if it weren’t for the OpenAI board’s capitulation yesterday.

Before the dam crumbled, OpenAI’s employees were threatening to quit en masse and follow Altman and Brockman to Microsoft, which was apparently waiting with open arms. In that scenario, Microsoft may have succeeded in scooping up top talent—thus denying its competitors the pleasure—but it would also have set off alarm bells by executing what would arguably have been a merger of sorts. The way things have actually played out gives Nadella a lot of upside and a lot less hassle. No alarms and no surprises!

More news below. And please note that Coins2Day newsletters will not publish on Thursday and Friday in recognition of the Thanksgiving holiday. The next Data Sheet will be in your inbox on Monday, Nov. 27.

David Meyer

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NEWSWORTHY

Musk legal woes. There is “reasonable evidence” that Elon Musk and other Tesla execs knew about defects in the company’s Autopilot system, a Florida judge has ruled. As reported by Reuters, Judge Reid Scott is allowing a lawsuit over a fatal crash to go to trial. Two recent product-liability rulings in California went the other way. Meanwhile, Wired reports that four U.S. Lawmakers want the SEC to investigate whether Musk committed securities fraud by not telling Neuralink investors about the deaths of monkeys in its brain-implant trials.

Intel subsidy doubts. Intel was supposed to soak up nearly €10 billion ($10.9 billion) in German subsidies for setting up chip plants there, but that’s suddenly in doubt due to a federal budgetary crisis, as is a similar €5 billion package for TSMC. The cash was supposed to come out of a €60 billion green fund that was scrapped last week because it was found to be unconstitutional (the cash was redirected from Germany’s pandemic coffers). As Germany has strict limits on raising debt, Focus magazine reports that the government has no answers for how the subsidies are supposed to be funded now.

About iMessage on Android… Turns out that using Sunbird—the iMessage-relaying messaging service that smartphone maker Nothing partnered with last week—isn’t such a great idea. Nothing pulled its Sunbird-based Nothing Chats app within a day, due to lack of strong protection for people’s messages, and now 9to5Google reports Sunbird has shuttered its own app, too: “Dear Sunbird User. We have decided to pause Sunbird usage for now while we investigate security concerns. We will update you when we are ready to proceed.”

ON OUR FEED

“Why is there the Meta Pixel? Why are there session recorders? What is the place of that on these sites?”

—Marshini Chetty, an associate professor of computer science at the University of Chicago, comments on a Markup investigation that found Meta’s tracking pixel embedded in “dozens of popular websites targeting kids from kindergarten to college.”

IN CASE YOU MISSED IT

Emmett Shear lasted just 72 hours as Sam Altman’s replacement as OpenAI CEO. He says he’s ‘deeply pleased’ with the result, by Chloe Taylor

Tim Cook reveals there are several people lined up to one day take on the top Apple job as he talks ‘very detailed’ succession plan with Dua Lipa, by Eleanor Pringle

Baidu reveals expectations-beating earnings and touts its new ChatGPT-like AI models, amid leadership chaos at U.S. Competitor OpenAI, by Lionel Lim

Analysis: Binance’s $4 billion plea deal is a victory for the company—but there’s a huge catch, by Jeff John Roberts

Nvidia warns that sales to destinations like China, the target of Biden’s chip controls, will ‘decline significantly,’ by Bloomberg

Democrat Anna Eshoo announces retirement after 30 years representing Silicon Valley in Congress, by the Associated Press

BEFORE YOU GO

Video stabilization. The image-generation startup Stability AI is now also getting into video generation. It has released a “research preview” of a new foundation model called Stable Video Diffusion, which it describes as “open source” despite the fact that it comes with heavy usage restrictions.

“We emphasize that this model is not intended for real-world or commercial applications at this stage,” Stability AI said, adding that “the model was not trained to be factual or true representations of people or events, and therefore using the model to generate such content is out-of-scope for the abilities of this model.”

The sample clips look mighty impressive, though the system can’t generate anything longer than four seconds. The model also can’t currently be controlled through text, Stability AI warned. Both the code and the weights are now available.

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By David Meyer
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