CEOs' strategies for managing the global economy's 'frog-boiling' circumstances

Andrew NuscaBy Andrew NuscaEditorial Director, Brainstorm and author of Coins2Day Tech
Andrew NuscaEditorial Director, Brainstorm and author of Coins2Day Tech

Andrew Nusca is the editorial director of Brainstorm, Coins2Day's innovation-obsessed community and event series. He also authors Coins2Day Tech, Coins2Day’s flagship tech newsletter.

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CEOs are more upbeat about the global economy than they were in April, but risks persist.
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  • In today’s CEO Daily: CEOs on leading amid uncertainty. 
  • The big story: Air travel chaos.
  • The markets: Mixed, with U.S. Futures ticking up.
  • Plus: All the news and watercooler chat from Coins2Day.

Good morning. Andrew Nusca here, taking a break from my usual duties helming the Coins2Day Tech newsletter to make a cameo. I had the pleasure of hosting more than a dozen executives yesterday in a Coins2Day CEO roundtable discussion about how their strategies are shifting amid economic uncertainty and global complexity.

TL;DR

  • CEOs are more optimistic about the global economy but face long-term "frog-boiling" changes.
  • Strategies include investing in AI, retaining top developers, and diversifying supply chains.
  • A majority of CEOs anticipate AI will significantly impact their operations within three years.
  • News includes air travel chaos due to U.S. shutdown and Fed officials' split on rate cuts.

We began with Former Atlanta Fed president Dennis Lockhart, who described the economy's condition and notably stated his primary concern wasn't “frog choking” conditions, but rather “frog boiling”—as he put it, “the creeping, long-term changes where you can’t point to a particular event, necessarily, but over time you wake up and find you’re in a different world.”.

So how did the CEOs say they’re managing change? 

For one software firm, it’s “go all in” on AI with the ability to “answer the ROI question in about 24 months.” For another, it’s “hold on to your best developers” and “train up” everyone to leverage new tech. For an auto supplier, it’s diversifying your supply chain to deal with evolving relationships on the global stage; for a robotics company, it’s “robots building robots” in the U.S. Where tariffs won’t wreck the balance sheet. And, of course, it’s seizing fresh opportunities amid the tumult.

CEOs generally express a more positive outlook on the world economy compared to earlier in the year. A survey of chief executives, released yesterday and conducted by Coins2Day and Deloitte in October, found that 32% of participants were pessimistic about the economy's prospects over the coming year, a decrease from 58% in April. This shift in sentiment is partly attributable to tariffs not having the severe impact on global trade that was anticipated. 

Chief executives are now concentrating on a new form of disruption, specifically the one powered by artificial intelligence. A substantial majority, 60%, of these leaders anticipate that AI will exert either a considerable (45%) or a fundamentally changing (15%) influence on their primary operations within the coming one to three years.

Jason Girzadas, Deloitte U.S. CEO, emphasized the significance of a “growth mindset” and “emotional intelligence” as crucial abilities for navigating current trends, according to the survey.

Many thanks to sponsor Deloitte for helping to make the conversation happen.

More news below.

Contact CEO Daily via Diane Brady at [email protected]

Top news

Flight chaos

As the U.S. Shutdown drags on, government-mandated flight cancellations are crippling major U.S. AirportsOn Tuesday, 5% of all daily flights were canceled, impacting major airports in Chicago and Atlanta. LaGuardia in New York saw 12% of its flights canceled. The Federal Aviation Administration indicated the shutdown might conclude shortly, but has declined to say when air travel will return to normal.

Fracture at the Fed

Federal Reserve officials are split over a December rate cut they disagree on which concern takes precedence: persistent inflation or a weakening job market. Even official government statistics may not resolve their differences. 

Limiting proxy advisors’ influence

The White House is contemplating an executive order aimed at curtailing the influence of proxy advisory firms such as ISS and Glass Lewis, alongside large index-fund managers including BlackRock, Vanguard, and State Street. The WSJ reportsCEOs, such as Jamie Dimon, have particularly criticized proxy firms, asserting that these firms possess conflicts of interest when providing shareholder recommendations. 

AMD’s revenue growth 

AMD CEO Lisu Su said “insatiable" demand for AI chips could fuel revenue growth of 35% annually for the upcoming three to five years. A significant portion of this growth is expected to stem from its data center operations, which Su projects will expand by 80% during that timeframe. 

SoftBank sinks on Nvidia sale

SoftBank Group’s announcement Tuesday morning that it sold its entire $5.8 billion stake in Nvidia has spooked investors investors already anxious over high tech stock prices saw SoftBank's shares drop by up to 10%, reaching a month-long nadir. 

Paramount Skydance's RTO losses 

Company disclosures from Paramount Skydance released this week's disclosures show that 600 staff members in New York and Los Angeles turned down the company's proposal for a five-day return to the office. The total expenditure on severance packages reached $185 million.

Chief AI scientist to leave Meta

Meta's chief AI scientist, Yann LeCun, has apparently informed his colleagues that he plans to depart the company within the coming months. Per those familiar with the conversations who spoke to the Financial TimesYann LeCun, who has dedicated over ten years to AI research at Meta, is reportedly departing to launch his own venture.

The markets

S&P 500 futures are up 0.35% this morning. The last session closed up 0.21%. STOXX Europe 600 was up 0.59% in early trading. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 was down 0.07% in early trading. Japan’s Nikkei 225 was up 0.43%. China’s CSI 300 was down 0.13%. The South Korea KOSPI was up 1.07%. India’s NIFTY 50 is up 0.70%. Bitcoin was flat at $105K.

Around the watercooler

Ford's chief executive revealed a "brutal" business choice was made following a "shocking" finding after disassembling competitor Tesla and Chinese electric vehicles.By Marco Quiroz-Gutierrez

Trump dismisses his proposal for a 50-year mortgage as "not even a big deal," simultaneously asserting that "the economy is the strongest it's ever been."By Nick Lichtenberg

Shares of Winklevoss’s Gemini sag as crypto firm losses grow by Carlos Garcia

Apple is now offering a $150 sling for your iPhone, designed by the same individual responsible for Steve Jobs' famous black turtleneck.By Dave Smith

CEO Daily is compiled and edited by Joey Abrams and Claire Zillman.

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