The Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark lending rate by 0.25% for the third consecutive time on Wednesday, yet indicated that it might hold rates steady for the foreseeable future.
TL;DR
- The Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark rate by 0.25%, bringing it to approximately 3.6%.
- Fed policymakers anticipate only one rate decrease in the upcoming year, with internal disagreements surfacing.
- Concerns about a fragile labor market and persistent high costs influenced the Fed's decision.
- President Donald Trump desires more aggressive rate reductions and will appoint a new Fed chair soon.
The reduction brought the Fed’s interest rate down to approximately 3.6%, a level not seen in almost three years. Over time, reduced rates from The Fed can bring down borrowing costs typically lead to lower costs for mortgages, vehicle financing, and credit card debt, although market dynamics can also influence these figures.
At a press briefing, Chair Jerome Powell indicated that following six reductions in interest rates over the last twenty-four months, the Federal Reserve can pause and observe the progress of employment and price increases. In their quarterly economic forecasts, Federal Reserve policymakers indicated they anticipate a single rate decrease in the upcoming year.
Fed officials “will carefully evaluate the incoming data,” Powell said, adding that the Fed is “well positioned to wait to see how the economy evolves.”
The chairperson indicated that the Federal Reserve's benchmark interest rate was nearing a point that neither impedes nor encourages economic activity, a notable change from earlier in the year, when he characterized the rate as sufficiently elevated to decelerate the economy and suppress inflation. Given that rates are approaching a more balanced stance, the threshold for additional reductions in interest rates is probably greater than it was during the autumn.
“We believe the labor market will have to noticeably weaken to warrant another rate cut soon,” Ryan Sweet, global chief economist at Oxford Economics, said.
A trio of Federal Reserve representatives disagreed with the decision, marking the highest number of dissenting votes in six years and indicating significant rifts within a committee that typically operates through agreement. Two officials favored maintaining the Fed’s interest rate at its current level: Jeffrey Schmid, the head of the Kansas City Fed, and Austan Goolsbee, the head of the Chicago Fed. Stephen Miran, who was appointed by Trump in September, advocated for a reduction of half a percentage point.
The December gathering might herald a more argumentative phase for The Federal Reserve. Policymakers are split divided between individuals advocating for rate cuts to stimulate job growth and those who would rather maintain current rates due to inflation exceeding the central bank's 2% objective. Absent definitive evidence of inflation being fully managed or a rise in joblessness, these disagreements are expected to persist.
“What you see is some people feel we should stop here and we’re in the right place and should wait, and some people think we should cut more next year,” Powell said.
A clear indication of the Federal Reserve's internal disagreements was the broad spectrum of reductions that the 19 individuals on the Fed's monetary policy panel anticipated for 2026. Seven foresaw no rate adjustments in the upcoming year, whereas eight predicted that the institution would enact a pair of or greater decreases. Four favored a solitary reduction. Merely 12 of the 19 participants cast ballots on interest rate determinations.
President Donald Trump on Wednesday deemed the reduction insufficient, stating his preference for “at least double.” Trump possesses the ability to appoint a new Fed chair as early as later this month to succeed Powell upon the conclusion of his tenure in May. The individual Trump selects as the new chair is expected to advocate for more aggressive interest rate reductions than a majority of officials would endorse.
Equities surged following the Federal Reserve's action, partly because certain investors on Wall Street anticipated Powell would be more assertive in quashing any prospects of subsequent reductions. The comprehensive S&P 500 stock index rose 0.7% and concluded close to a record peak attained in October.
Powell expressed a positive outlook on the economy's expansion in the coming year, noting that consumer expenditures continue to show strength and businesses are still allocating funds towards artificial intelligence infrastructure. He further indicated that an increase in employee productivity might foster accelerated growth without triggering additional inflation.
Nonetheless, Powell stated the committee lowered borrowing expenses due to worries that the employment landscape is more fragile than it seems. Although official figures indicate the economy has gained merely 40,000 positions monthly since April, Powell mentioned that this number might be adjusted down by up to 60,000, suggesting businesses have actually been eliminating around 20,000 jobs per month since springtime.
“It’s a labor market that seems to have significant downside risks,” Powell told reporters. “People care about that. That’s their jobs.”
The Fed met against the backdrop of elevated inflation that has frustrated many Americans, with prices higher for groceries, rents, and utilities. Consumer prices have jumped 25% in the five years since COVID.
“We hear loud and clear how people are experiencing really high costs,” Powell said Wednesday. “A lot of that isn’t the current rate of inflation, a lot of that is e mbedded high costs due to higher inflations in 2022-2023.”
Powell indicated that inflation might increase at the beginning of next year, as additional businesses transfer the expense of tariffs to shoppers when they adjust their pricing for the new year. He further stated that inflation is expected to decrease thereafter, though this outcome isn't certain.
“We just came off an experience where inflation turned out to be much more persistent than anyone expected,” he said, referring to the spike in 2022. “Is that going to happen now? That’s the risk.”
The Federal Reserve's policy discussion occurred as the Trump administration prepares to select a new Fed chair to succeed Powell once his tenure concludes in May. Trump's selection will probably advocate for more aggressive interest rate reductions than a number of officials might endorse.
The President has suggested that he'll probably select Kevin Hassett, his chief economic counselor. However, on Wednesday, Trump indicated he would confer with Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve governor who has also been a leading candidate to succeed Powell.
Trump stated his desire for an individual who will decrease interest rates. “Our rates should be the lowest rates in the world,” he commented.
A governmental assessment released the previous week indicated that overall and core prices rose 2.8% in September compared to the prior year, as per the Federal Reserve's favored metric. This figure is considerably lower than the surges in price increases observed three years ago, yet it remains burdensome for numerous families following the substantial escalation since 2020.
Further complicating the Federal Reserve's difficulties, employment growth has decelerated significantly throughout this year, and the jobless rate has climbed for three straight months to 4.4%. Although this remains a historically low figure, it represents the peak seen in four years. Additionally, dismissals have been restrained up to this point, contributing to what numerous financial experts describe as a “low hire, low fire” labor environment.
The Federal Reserve generally maintains its primary interest rate at a high level to fight rising prices, and it frequently lowers the expense of borrowing when joblessness increases to encourage greater consumer spending and workforce expansion.
Powell is scheduled to lead just three additional Federal Reserve gatherings prior to his departure. On Wednesday, he was questioned regarding his lasting impact.
“I really want to turn this job over to whoever replaces me with the economy in really good shape,” he said. “I want inflation to be under control, coming back down to 2%, and I want the labor market to be strong.”
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Associated Press Writers Collin Binkley and Alex Veiga in Los Angeles contributed to this report.










