On Tuesday, headlines declaring that Bitcoin had reached its all-time high began to trickle in from U.S. News outlets. The New York Times announced $68,800, while the Wall Street Journal almost simultaneously declared the price to be $69,000.
Meanwhile, Coinbase announced that Bitcoin surpassed its 2021 high a whole day earlier, declaring the moment to be when it hit $65,565.75—based on what the exchange considers the previous record, about $64,000—before it shot up to $69,225.37 on Tuesday.
But these figures contradict those of CoinGecko, Binance, and CoinDesk, which declared slightly differing highs on Tuesday: $68,912.84, $68,816.59, and $69,000 respectively.
The question is: why? One basic explanation is that unlike, say, gold or real estate, there isn't a common way to price Bitcoin because it lacks intrinsic value—the price is determined solely by trading.
But in this case, the key reason for price variation is that Bitcoin is traded on many centralized exchanges with differing levels of liquidity. The largest exchanges, like Coinbase and Binance, boast vast trading volumes of over $33 billion and $9 billion, respectively, compared to a plethora of minuscule alternatives with volumes as low as $21, according to BitDegree data. And put simply, trading volume (supply) affects the asset's value. On top of this, varying gas fees on each exchange's transactions can also have a subtle impact.
As Bitcoin moves across a sprawling number of exchanges, it’s harder for traders to arbitrage price differences, which means the discrepancy persists for longer in the system compared to more efficient, traditional markets.
And for traders looking to capitalize on those differences, arbitrage opportunities have diminished. For instance, spreads across exchanges in 2020 often hit 4%, according to CoinCodeCap. However, today, the largest spread between market leaders Coinbase, Kraken, Gemini, and Binance was between Binance and Kraken, with the former pricing Bitcoin 0.5% higher than the latter.
Many of us are used to thinking of Bitcoin in terms of the US dollar.
— Colin Talks Crypto 🪙 (@ColinTCrypto) February 29, 2024
One thing you may not realize is that Bitcoin actually just made new ATHs in many other currencies:
New ATH in South Africa (ZAR)
New ATH in Australia (AUD)
New ATH in Canada (CAD)
New ATH in Japan (Yen)… pic.twitter.com/tuoz1hb4e3
Another reason why the breakthrough moment is somewhat divisive is because Bitcoin is a global currency. This means the price is also expressed in terms of other fiat currencies such as the euro or the British pound or the Japanese yen.
For instance, Bitfinex reported that BTC/JPY moved beyond its April 14 high of 7,057,300 yen on Friday, and continued to climb to highs of over 10.3 million yen. And Bitcoin’s previous record high against the euro was set in September 2021, months before the dollar, and Coinbase clocked in a new high at 60,549.61 euros early Monday.
